Formula 1 picks, odds, time, grid: 2024 United States Grand Prix predictions, F1 best bets from proven model

Having fallen to second in the F1 constructors’ standings and with Ferrari also nipping at their heels, Red Bull Racing has had a month to make improvements during the Formula 1 break. Now they’ll head to Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas this weekend to put those improvements to the test in the 2024 United States Grand Prix. Max Verstappen has won the last three grand prix at COTA and he’s listed at +400 in the 2024 United States Grand Prix odds. 

McLaren’s Lando Norris is the +105 favorite, while his teammate Oscar Piastri is just behind Verstappen at +475 in the US GP odds. Start time is 3 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before analyzing the 2024 United States Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 United States GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It’s had a strong history of betting success in motorsports, correctly predicting 19 NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc’s wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen’s win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also called all 19 of Verstappen’s wins during the 2023 season and nailed each of his seven wins in 2024 while also nailing Norris as a +200 winner in the Netherlands and then again as a +190 winner in Singapore.

It also called Alex Albon to finish in a points position for a plus-money payout before he went on to finish seventh in Azerbaijan and nailed a double podium for McLaren for a plus-money payout in Singapore too. Anyone who followed the model’s lead on those plays at sportsbooks and sports betting apps has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 United States Grand Prix projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix predictions

One surprise: The model is predicting a stunning top-10 finish for Yuki Tsunoda of RB Formula One Team that would pay out +175. Tsunoda is currently 12th in the 2024 F1 standings but he’s only two points behind Nico Hulkenberg and Lance Stroll in a tied for 10th, and he’s had seven different points finishes (10th or better) already this year.

Since joining Formula 1 in 2021, Tsunoda has made the points in all three United States Grand Prix. He finished ninth at Circuit of the Americas in 2021, 10th in 2022 and eighth last season. With RB narrowly holding off Haas for sixth in the constructors’ standings, expect a big push from the team the rest of this season. See more 2024 United States Grand Prix picks right here.

How to make 2024 United States Grand Prix picks

The model has also revealed its win prediction and then is targeting a driver going off with double-digit odds to make a surprising surge up the 2024 United States GP leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model’s F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.

So who wins the United States Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges towards the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 United States Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen’s wins last season and all seven of his wins in 2024, and find out.

2024 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders

See F1 United States Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.

Lando Norris +105
Max Verstappen +400
Oscar Piastri +475
Charles Leclerc +800
George Russell +1600
Lewis Hamilton +1600
Carlos Sainz +2000
Sergio Perez +5000
Fernando Alonso +20000
Alexander Albon +25000
Nico Hulkenberg +40000
Yuki Tsunoda +50000
Franco Colapinto +50000
Kevin Magnussen +50000
Liam Lawson +75000
Lance Stroll +75000
Pierre Gasly +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Valtteri Bottas +150000
Guanyu Zhou +200000